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Published on: September 12, 2014
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QAnon: The Calm Before the Storm.
Omi Hodwitz1, Steff King2, Jordan Thompson1
1Department of Culture, Society & Justice, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID USA.
Society
|April 4, 2022
Summary
QAnon conspiracy theorists are predicted to grow in size and geographic reach. Their use of violence may also increase, potentially leading to more severe domestic terrorism incidents.
Area of Science:
- Social Science
- Political Science
- Sociology
Background:
- QAnon emerged in 2017 as an anonymous online conspiracy movement.
- The group has expanded significantly in membership, geographic reach, and ideological influence.
- QAnon's tactics have evolved from online discourse to rallies and violent acts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide an empirically grounded prediction of QAnon's future trajectory.
- To analyze the potential for QAnon to incite domestic terrorism.
- To offer a systematic analysis supporting future predictions.
Main Methods:
- Comparative case analyses of similar groups and collectives.
- Examination of groups comparable to QAnon based on key factors.
- Application of identified trajectories to predict QAnon's future.
Main Results:
- QAnon is likely to experience continued growth in membership.
- The group's regional presence is expected to expand.
- QAnon members may persist in violent activities, increasing attack frequency and severity.
Conclusions:
- QAnon's growth in size and reach is probable.
- The potential for QAnon-related domestic terrorism and violence remains a significant concern.
- Systematic analysis supports predictions of QAnon's escalating influence and activity.
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