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Published on: February 10, 2023
Risks of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and bleeding after covid-19: nationwide self-controlled cases
Ioannis Katsoularis1, Osvaldo Fonseca-Rodríguez2, Paddy Farrington3
1Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Insights
COVID-19 significantly increases the risk of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and bleeding. These findings highlight the need for updated diagnostic and prophylactic strategies for patients recovering from coronavirus disease 2019.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) has been associated with thrombotic events.
- The precise quantification of risks for deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism (PE), and bleeding post-COVID-19 requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the risk of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and bleeding following COVID-19 infection.
- To compare these risks against a baseline control period and assess the impact of confounding factors.
Main Methods:
- A self-controlled case series and matched cohort study design utilizing Swedish national registries.
- Inclusion of over 1 million individuals diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 (the virus causing COVID-19) and matched controls.
- Statistical analysis using conditional Poisson regression to determine incidence rate ratios and risk ratios.
Main Results:
- Significantly elevated incidence rate ratios for DVT, PE, and bleeding were observed up to 70-110 days post-COVID-19.
- During days 1-30 post-COVID-19, risk ratios were substantially increased: 5.90 for DVT, 31.59 for PE, and 2.48 for bleeding.
- Absolute risks at 30 days included 0.039% for DVT, 0.17% for PE, and 0.101% for bleeding, with highest rates in critical COVID-19 cases and during the first pandemic wave.
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 is confirmed as a significant risk factor for deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and bleeding.
- These findings necessitate a re-evaluation of diagnostic and prophylactic strategies for venous thromboembolism in the post-COVID-19 recovery phase.
Objective:
To quantify the risk of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and bleeding after covid-19.
Design:
Self-controlled case series and matched cohort study.
Setting:
National registries in Sweden.
Participants:
1 057 174 people who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 between 1 February 2020 and 25 May 2021 in Sweden, matched on age, sex, and county of residence to 4 076 342 control participants.
Main Outcomes Measures:
Self-controlled case series and conditional Poisson regression were used to determine the incidence rate ratio and risk ratio with corresponding 95% confidence intervals for a first deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, or bleeding event. In the self-controlled case series, the incidence rate ratios for first time outcomes after covid-19 were determined using set time intervals and the spline model. The risk ratios for first time and all events were determined during days 1-30 after covid-19 or index date using the matched cohort study, and adjusting for potential confounders (comorbidities, cancer, surgery, long term anticoagulation treatment, previous venous thromboembolism, or previous bleeding event).
Results:
Compared with the control period, incidence rate ratios were significantly increased 70 days after covid-19 for deep vein thrombosis, 110 days for pulmonary embolism, and 60 days for bleeding. In particular, incidence rate ratios for a first pulmonary embolism were 36.17 (95% confidence interval 31.55 to 41.47) during the first week after covid-19 and 46.40 (40.61 to 53.02) during the second week. Incidence rate ratios during days 1-30 after covid-19 were 5.90 (5.12 to 6.80) for deep vein thrombosis, 31.59 (27.99 to 35.63) for pulmonary embolism, and 2.48 (2.30 to 2.68) for bleeding. Similarly, the risk ratios during days 1-30 after covid-19 were 4.98 (4.96 to 5.01) for deep vein thrombosis, 33.05 (32.8 to 33.3) for pulmonary embolism, and 1.88 (1.71 to 2.07) for bleeding, after adjusting for the effect of potential confounders. The rate ratios were highest in patients with critical covid-19 and highest during the first pandemic wave in Sweden compared with the second and third waves. In the same period, the absolute risk among patients with covid-19 was 0.039% (401 events) for deep vein thrombosis, 0.17% (1761 events) for pulmonary embolism, and 0.101% (1002 events) for bleeding.
Conclusions:
The findings of this study suggest that covid-19 is a risk factor for deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and bleeding. These results could impact recommendations on diagnostic and prophylactic strategies against venous thromboembolism after covid-19.
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