Smoking Susceptibility in Canadian Adolescent Electronic-Cigarette Users

Background: E-cigarette use is increasing among Canadian youth, with experimentation especially prevalent among never-smoking youth. Among this group, there is concern e-cigarette use contributes to future initiation of smoking through a gateway effect. However, e-cigarette use and smoking share many common risk factors; a postulated mechanism to explain the apparent causal pathway from e-cigarette use to smoking initiation in previously smoking-naïve youth. A better understanding of the relationships between smoking susceptibility and e-cigarette use among never-smoking youth is needed. Purpose/objectives: The primary aim of this study was to gain a deeper understanding of the risk factors associated with smoking susceptibility in youth who have recently used e-cigarettes. Methods: This study used data (n = 40,363) from the 2018/2019 Canadian Student Tobacco Alcohol and Drug Use Survey (CSTADS) to compare the risk factor profiles of susceptible and non-susceptible never-smoking e-cigarette users, as well as susceptible and non-susceptible never-smoking youth who have never used an e-cigarette. Results: E-cigarette use, independent of susceptibility status, was associated with a sociodemographic and behavioral risk factor profile likely to confer a higher risk of initiating smoking. Among e-cigarette users, smoking susceptibility was associated with more smoking risk factors. Conclusions/importance: Study findings support a common risk-factor model, rather than e-cigarette use itself, to explain differences in the likelihood of smoking initiation among e-cigarette users. E-cigarette use and smoking initiation may be interchangeable outcomes amongst those with smoking risk factors. The risks of e-cigarette use, and their regulatory status, need to be balanced with their potential as harm reduction tools.