Carotid bifurcation disease: prediction of ulceration with B-mode US

The presence of carotid ulceration was assessed by two readers for 55 B-mode ultrasound (US) studies. Intact surgical specimens were available for comparison. Ulceration was considered present if the following criteria were obtained: a continuous contour showing focal depression, a well-defined break in the surface 1 mm or more across, a well-defined back wall at the base of the depression, and an anechoic area within the plaque which extended to the surface and was 1 mm or more deep. Using these criteria, the two readers agreed on the diagnosis for 47 studies. When the surgical specimen was used as a reference standard, the accuracy of B-mode US was 60%, its sensitivity was 39%, and its specificity was 72%. Since the impact of scan quality was ruled out by using only scans on which the two readers agreed, the poor results must be attributed to the lack of definitive US criteria. A second review of the scans, with the readers looking only for a heterogeneous echo pattern, revealed that appearance had no higher correlation with ulceration at surgery than any of the original criteria had.