Hierarchical MAP Denoising of Longitudinal Hamilton Depression Rating Scores

The Hamilton Depression Rating Scale provides ordinal ratings for evaluating different aspects of depression. These ratings are usually quite noisy, and longitudinal patterns in the ratings can be difficult to discern. This paper proposes a hierarchical maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) method for denoising the ordinal time series of such ratings. Real-world data from a clinical trial are analyzed using the model. Denoising reveals subject-specific longitudinal patterns, predicts future ratings, and reveals progression patterns via principal component analysis.