Genome-wide polygenic risk impact on intracranial aneurysms and acute ischemic stroke

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have an important relevance to approaches for clinical usage in intracranial aneurysm (IA) patients. Hence, we aimed to develop IA-predicting PRS models including the genetic basis shared with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in Korean populations. We applied a weighted PRS (wPRS) model based on a previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 250 IA patients in a hospital-based multicenter cohort, 222 AIS patients in a validation study, and 296 shared controls. Risk predictability was analyzed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The best-fitting risk models based on wPRSs were stratified into tertiles representing the lowest, middle, and highest risk groups. The weighted PRS, which included 29 GWASs (p < 5×10-8) and two reported genetic variants (p < 0.01), showed a high predictability in IA patients (AUROC = 0.949, 95% CI: 0.933-0.966). This wPRS was significantly validated in AIS patients (AUROC = 0.842, 95% CI: 0.808-0.876; p < 0.001). Two-stage risk models stratified into tertiles showed an increased risk for IA (OR = 691.25, 95% CI: 241.77-1976.35; p = 3.1×10-34; sensitivity/specificity = 0.728/0.963), which was replicated in AIS development (OR = 39.76, 95% CI: 16.91-93.49; p = 3.1×10-17; sensitivity/specificity = 0.284/0.963). A higher wPRS for IA may be associated with an increased risk of AIS in the Korean population. These findings suggest that IA and AIS may have a shared genetic architecture and should be studied further to generate a precision medicine model for use in personalized diagnosis and treatment.