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Subgroup-specific dose finding for phase I-II trials using Bayesian clustering.

Alexandra Curtis1,2, Brian Smith1, Andrew G Chapple3

  • 1Department of Biostatistics, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.

Statistics in Medicine
|April 16, 2022
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces an adaptive Bayesian clustering method for dose-finding clinical trials with heterogeneous patient populations. The new method effectively identifies optimal doses by grouping similar subgroups, outperforming traditional approaches when subgroup responses differ.

Keywords:
Bayesian model averagingdose-finding clinical trialspike-and-slab priorsubgroup

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Area of Science:

  • Biostatistics
  • Clinical Trial Design
  • Pharmacometrics

Background:

  • Traditional dose-finding trials often assume patient homogeneity, which can be inefficient and lead to suboptimal dosing in heterogeneous populations.
  • Identifying the optimal dose for immunotherapeutic oncology treatments requires balancing both efficacy and toxicity outcomes.
  • Existing methods for handling subgroup heterogeneity in dose-finding may impose restrictive assumptions like subgroup exchangeability or ordering.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate an adaptive Bayesian clustering method for dose-finding in clinical trials with heterogeneous patient populations.
  • To accommodate situations where both efficacy and toxicity data are crucial for dose optimization.
  • To provide a flexible approach that does not require a priori assumptions about subgroup relationships or ordering.

Main Methods:

  • An adaptive Bayesian clustering algorithm was developed to borrow strength among similar subgroups and cluster homogeneous ones.
  • The methodology allows for the incorporation of subgroup-specific prior information if available.
  • Operating characteristics were compared against Bayesian hierarchical models for subgroups through simulation studies.

Main Results:

  • Both the proposed clustering method and Bayesian hierarchical models outperformed separate subgroup-specific models when all subgroups shared similar dose-efficacy and dose-toxicity curves.
  • The adaptive Bayesian clustering method demonstrated superior performance compared to hierarchical models when one subgroup exhibited distinct dose-efficacy or dose-toxicity curves.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed adaptive Bayesian clustering method offers an effective approach for dose-finding in heterogeneous populations, particularly when subgroup responses vary.
  • This method provides a more robust alternative to traditional homogeneity assumptions and existing subgroup methodologies.
  • It enhances the precision of optimal dose identification in complex clinical trial settings, such as immunotherapies.