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Can behavioral interventions be too salient? Evidence from traffic safety messages
Jonathan D Hall1,2, Joshua M Madsen3
1Department of Economics and Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 3G7, Canada.
Summary
Behavioral safety interventions can backfire. Displaying traffic fatality counts to encourage safe driving unexpectedly increased crashes, showing that overly salient interventions can have costly consequences.
Area of Science:
- Behavioral economics
- Traffic safety research
- Public health interventions
Background:
- Behavioral interventions aim to capture attention.
- The potential costs of high salience in interventions are often overlooked.
- Safety campaigns utilizing public displays are common.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the unintended costs of a specific behavioral intervention.
- To investigate the impact of displaying traffic fatality counts on driving behavior.
- To determine if negatively framed interventions can backfire.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of statewide crash data during and outside of campaign weeks.
- Utilizing dynamic message signs to display traffic fatality counts.
- Examining short-term effects of the intervention.
Main Results:
- Traffic crashes significantly increased statewide during campaign weeks when fatality counts were displayed.
- The observed increase in crashes was not consistent with intended safety benefits.
- These negative effects were temporary and did not persist after campaign weeks concluded.
Conclusions:
- Highly salient behavioral interventions, especially negatively framed ones, can be counterproductive.
- Overly attention-grabbing interventions may distract from crucial considerations, leading to unintended negative outcomes.
- The costs associated with backfiring interventions, such as increased crashes, can be substantial.
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