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Updated: Sep 25, 2025

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Published on: December 19, 2020
CA 15-3 prognostic biomarker in SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia
José Antonio Ros-Lucas1,2,3, Domingo Andrés Pascual-Figal4,5,6,7,8, José Antonio Noguera-Velasco9
1Pneumology Service, Clinical University Hospital Virgen de La Arrixaca, Murcia, Spain. jalucas@ucam.edu.
Carbohydrate antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) levels can predict severe outcomes in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Higher CA 15-3 indicates increased risk of death and need for intensive care, aiding early risk identification.
Area of Science:
- Pulmonary Medicine
- Oncology
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Lung involvement severity is a key prognostic factor in SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia.
- Carbohydrate antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) is a marker for lung damage and fibrosis.
- CA 15-3 may predict prognosis in SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the prognostic value of CA 15-3 in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia.
- To assess the correlation between CA 15-3 levels and in-hospital complications.
- To determine if CA 15-3 can predict severe outcomes in COVID-19 patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective observational study of 539 patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia.
- Analysis of blood samples for CA 15-3, IL-6, CRP, D-dimer, troponin T, and NT-ProBNP.
- Registration of in-hospital complications: death, intensive care admission, and oxygen therapy at discharge.
Main Results:
- CA 15-3 levels correlated with male sex, older age, and other severity markers (IL-6, CRP, D-dimer, troponin T, NT-ProBNP).
- Elevated CA 15-3 was significantly higher in patients who died, required intensive care, or were discharged on oxygen.
- CA 15-3 levels above 34.5 U/mL strongly predicted death (aOR 3.74) and intensive care needs (aOR 4.56).
Conclusions:
- CA 15-3 concentration reflects lung damage and fibrosis in SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia.
- CA 15-3 serves as a valuable biomarker for early identification of high-risk patients.
- This marker can aid in predicting complicated in-hospital courses and guiding clinical management.
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