Leaks in the Pipeline: a Failure Analysis of Gram-Negative Antibiotic Development from 2010 to 2020

The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned that our current arsenal of antibiotics is not innovative enough to face impending infectious diseases, especially those caused by multidrug-resistant Gram-negative pathogens. Although the current preclinical pipeline is well stocked with novel candidates, the last U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved antibiotic with a novel mechanism of action against Gram-negative bacteria was discovered nearly 60 years ago. Of all the antibiotic candidates that initiated investigational new drug (IND) applications in the 2000s, 17% earned FDA approval within 12 years, while an overwhelming 62% were discontinued in that time frame. These "leaks" in the clinical pipeline, where compounds with clinical potential are abandoned during clinical development, indicate that scientific innovations are not reaching the clinic and providing benefits to patients. This is true for not only novel candidates but also candidates from existing antibiotic classes with clinically validated targets. By identifying the sources of the leaks in the clinical pipeline, future developmental efforts can be directed toward strategies that are more likely to flow into clinical use. In this review, we conduct a detailed failure analysis of clinical candidates with Gram-negative activity that have fallen out of the clinical pipeline over the past decade. Although limited by incomplete data disclosure from companies engaging in antibiotic development, we attempt to distill the developmental challenges faced by each discontinued candidate. It is our hope that this insight can help de-risk antibiotic development and bring new, effective antibiotics to the clinic.