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Climate variability, water supply, sanitation and diarrhea among children under five in Sub-Saharan Africa: a
1University of Yaounde II-IFORD, Yaounde, Cameroon
Insights
Climate change increases diarrhea risk in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), especially with poor water and sanitation. Adapting water infrastructure nationally and locally is crucial to reduce child diarrhea cases.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Climate Science
Background:
- Climate variability exacerbates diarrhea diseases, a major cause of child mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).
- Inadequate access to improved water and sanitation amplifies diarrhea risk in vulnerable populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the individual and combined impacts of climate variation, water supply, and sanitation on childhood diarrhea in SSA.
- To analyze the spatial and household-level determinants of diarrhea incidence.
Main Methods:
- Utilized multilevel mixed-effect Poisson regression with cross-level interactions.
- Merged 57 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) from 25 SSA countries (2000-2019) with climate data.
Main Results:
- 77.7% of diarrhea variation in SSA households is attributed to climatic differences between clusters.
- Households in high-incidence clusters are 1.567 times more likely to experience diarrhea.
- Increased temperature and rainfall correlate with more diarrhea cases in households with unimproved water/sanitation.
Conclusions:
- Climate change significantly drives diarrhea prevalence in SSA.
- Multilevel adaptation strategies in the water sector are essential at national and household levels.
- Improving water and sanitation infrastructure is key to mitigating climate-sensitive diarrhea diseases.
Abstract:
Climate variability is expected to increase the risk of diarrhea diseases, a leading cause of child mortality and morbidity in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The risk of diarrhea is more acute when populations have poor access to improved water and sanitation. This study seeks to determine individual and joint effects of climate variation, water supply and sanitation on the occurrence of diarrhea among children under five in SSA using multilevel mixed-effect Poisson regression including cross-level interaction. We merged 57 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) from 25 SSA countries covering the period 2000-2019 with climatic data from the DHS geolocation databases. The results of the research indicate that 77.7% of the variation in the occurrence of diarrhea in Sub-Saharan households is due to climatic differences between clusters. Also, a household residing in a cluster with a high incidence of diarrhea is 1.567 times more likely to have diarrhea cases than a household from a cluster with a low incidence. In addition, when average temperature and rainfall increase, households using unimproved sanitation or unimproved water have more cases of diarrhea. For SSA, the results of the multilevel analysis suggest the adoption at both levels; macro (national) and micro (household), of climate change adaption measures in the water sector to reduce the prevalence of diarrhea.
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