The prognostic value of KRAS mutation in locally advanced rectal cancer

The prognostic value of the KRAS proto-oncogene mutation in colorectal cancer has been debated. Herein, we analyzed the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to assess the role of KRAS mutation as a prognostic marker in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

We identified LARC patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation from 2004-2015 excluding those with stage I/IV disease and unknown KRAS status. Multivariable logistic regression identified variables associated with KRAS positivity. Propensity adjusted univariable and multivariable analyses identified predictors of survival.

Of the 784 eligible patients, 506 were KRAS-negative (KRAS -) and 278 were KRAS-positive (KRAS +). Median survival was 63.6 months and 76.3 months for KRAS + and KRAS - patients respectively, with propensity adjusted 3 and 5-year survival of 79.9% vs. 83.6% and 56.7% vs. 61.9% respectively (HR 1.56, p 1.074-2.272). Male sex, no insurance, and KRAS + disease were associated with poorer survival on unadjusted and propensity adjusted multivariable analyses.

Our analysis of KRAS + LARC suggest that KRAS + disease is associated with poorer overall survival. Given the inherent limitations of retrospective data, prospective validation is warranted.