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Updated: Sep 25, 2025

A Model to Simulate Clinically Relevant Hypoxia in Humans
Published on: December 22, 2016
Silent hypoxia is not an identifiable characteristic in patients with COVID-19 infection
Nicholas Russell Plummer1, Andrew Fogarty2, Dominick Shaw2
1Adult Critical Care, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, NG7 2UH, UK.
Background:
We aimed to assess whether asymptomatic ("happy") hypoxia was an identifiable physiological phenotype of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and associated with need for ICU admission.
Methods:
We performed an observational cohort study of all adult patients admitted with hypoxaemic respiratory failure to a large acute hospital Trust serving the East Midlands, UK. Patients with confirmed COVID-19 were compared to those without. Physiological response to hypoxaemia was modelled using a linear mixed effects model.
Results:
Of 1,586 patients included, 75% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. The ROX index was 2.08 min-1 lower (1.56-2.61, p < 0.001) in the COVID-19 cohort when adjusted for age and ethnicity, suggesting an enhanced respiratory response to hypoxia compared to the non-Covid-19 patients. There was substantial residual inter- and intra-patient variability in the respiratory response to hypoxaemia. 33% of the infected cohort required ICU, and of these 31% died within 60 days. ICU admission and mortality were both associated with an enhanced respiratory response for all degrees of hypoxaemia.
Conclusions:
Patients with COVID-19 display a more symptomatic phenotype in response to hypoxaemia than those with other causes of hypoxaemic respiratory failure, however individual patients exhibit a wide range of responses. As such although asymptomatic hypoxaemia may be a phenomenon in any individual patient with hypoxaemic respiratory failure, it is no more frequently observed in those with SARS-CoV-2 infection than without.
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