Chitinase-3-like protein-1 at hospital admission predicts COVID-19 outcome: a prospective cohort study

Rebecca De Lorenzo1,2, Clara Sciorati1, Nicola I Lorè1,3

  • 1Division of Immunology, Transplantation and Infectious Diseases, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, San Raffaele Via Olgettina 58, 20132, Milan, Italy.

Scientific Reports
|May 9, 2022
PubMed

Insights

Chitinase-3-like protein-1 (CHI3L1) is elevated in patients with Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) and predicts severe disease and adverse outcomes. Higher CHI3L1 levels at admission indicate a poorer prognosis for COVID-19 patients.

Area of Science:

  • Biochemistry
  • Immunology
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • Chitinase-3-like protein-1 (CHI3L1) is produced in response to infectious and inflammatory stimuli.
  • CHI3L1 plays a role in tissue damage, repair, and remodeling processes.
  • The predictive value of CHI3L1 in Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) prognosis is not well-established.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate whether plasma CHI3L1 levels at disease onset can predict the clinical outcome in patients with COVID-19.
  • To compare CHI3L1 levels between COVID-19 patients and healthy controls.
  • To assess the changes in CHI3L1 levels in survivors post-discharge.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective cohort study of 191 COVID-19 patients admitted to the hospital.
  • Plasma samples collected at admission for COVID-19 patients and from healthy volunteers.
  • Plasma samples collected from survivors one month post-discharge.
  • Primary outcome: transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) or death.
  • Statistical analyses included Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curve analysis.

Main Results:

  • COVID-19 patients exhibited significantly higher plasma CHI3L1 levels compared to healthy controls (p < 0.0001).
  • Patients with unfavorable outcomes (ICU admission or death) had markedly elevated CHI3L1 levels (p < 0.0001).
  • Plasma CHI3L1 levels independently predicted adverse outcomes, even after adjusting for clinical factors (p < 0.0001).
  • Higher CHI3L1 levels (above median) were associated with a poorer prognosis (log rank test, p < 0.0001).
  • CHI3L1 levels decreased in survivors post-discharge but remained elevated compared to controls (p < 0.05).

Conclusions:

  • Plasma CHI3L1 is significantly increased in patients with COVID-19.
  • Elevated CHI3L1 levels at hospital admission are a strong predictor of adverse clinical outcomes in COVID-19.
  • CHI3L1 may serve as a valuable prognostic biomarker for COVID-19 severity.