Dose-response association between long-term weight loss in young adults and later-life metabolic health

Long-term weight loss (LTWL) has been shown to be associated with lower metabolic risk in young adults with overweight/obesity. However, the dose-response association is uncertain.

In a large-scale nationwide screening project in China, the participants aged 35 to 64 years who recalled overweight/obesity at age 25 years and experienced LTWL or maintained stable weight were included. The dose-response association between LTWL from age 25 to screening (35 to 64 years) and the odds of metabolic syndrome at screening were assessed using multivariable adjusted regression models with restricted cubic splines.

A total of 40,150 participants (66.4% women) were included. The increment of LTWL was associated with continuously decreased odds of metabolic syndrome. The odds of metabolic syndrome were 0.64 (0.60 to 0.67), 0.42 (0.40 to 0.45), 0.27 (0.25 to 0.29), and 0.15 (0.13 to 0.17) for those with LTWL of 5% to 9.9%, 10% to 14.9%, 15% to 19.9%, and 20% or greater compared with <5% LTWL, respectively. Moreover, the incremental pattern was observed across all population subgroups.

An incremental association between LTWL from young adulthood and odds of later-life metabolic syndrome was observed. Our findings highlight the effective ways to achieve LTWL to improve lifetime metabolic health for young adults with overweight/obesity.