Substantial benefits of tissue matching in renal transplantation

The purpose of this study was to perform a rigorous statistical analysis of the benefits of HLA-A,B and DR matching in renal transplantation. Graft survival in 2282 first cadaver kidney transplants, recorded and followed up by the United Kingdom Transplant Service (UKTS), was analyzed using the piecewise proportional hazards regression method. The results show that substantial improvements in graft survival are obtained when there is DR compatibility and at most one A or B mismatch, but that there is little advantage in tissue matching unless this degree of matching can be attained. So far, few graft recipients have benefited substantially through tissue matching (24% of kidneys exchanged through UKTS in 1984). This is partly attributable to unresolved technical problems in DR typing. However simulations show that under ideal conditions, with a pool of 3000 patients awaiting transplantation, considerable improvements in graft survival can be obtained in over 60% of recipients.