Enhanced release, export, and transport of diffuse nutrients from litter in forested watersheds with climate warming

Variations in litter decomposition and nutrient migration are constraints to accurately estimate watershed diffuse forest pollution under the combined effects of topographic heterogeneity and climate change. In this study, remote sensing data, decomposition and leaching experiments, and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) were used to quantify the release, export, and transport characteristics of diffuse nutrients from forest litter under two climate scenarios (the current climate condition [S1] and the future warming and drying climate condition [S2]), and the impacts on aquatic environment were identified. The annual litter decomposition was 27.80 × 10⁶ t in S2, which was 1.39 times that of S1. Additionally, the annual litter nutrient release in S2 (C, N, and P was 8.65 × 10⁶, 3.31 × 10⁵, and 1.57 × 10⁴ t, respectively) also increased by 31.16%-45.62% compared with that of S1. The spatial patterns of nutrient export showed that the annual exports of C, N, and P in S1 were 109.77, 46.85, and 0.43 kg/ha, respectively. The annual nutrient export in S2 increased by 1.44 times, and S2 also had higher values of nutrient transport. In addition, variation trends of temperature and precipitation increased significantly with increasing altitude, which promoted differences in nutrient transport between S1 and S2 in the high-altitude areas. The response analysis of the diffuse nutrient in surface water also indicated that forest nutrient discharge load were critical factors affecting the aquatic environmental quality. This study indicated that climate warming accelerated litter decomposition and made litter a potential source of diffuse forest pollution, and watershed discharge load varied intensively with the terrestrial conditions. The combination of experiments and modeling can improve the accuracy of diffuse forest pollution simulation and provide valuable information for formulating watershed climate change adaptation strategies.