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Clinical Predictors of Response to Tocilizumab: A Retrospective Multicenter Study
Selin Ercan1, Begüm Ergan1, Saliha Selin Özuygur1
1Department of Pulmonology Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylül University, İzmir, Turkey.
Insights
Predictors of mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients treated with tocilizumab include advanced age, high CALL and GRAM scores, elevated white blood cell counts, and mechanical ventilation. These factors indicate a worse prognosis.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Infectious Diseases
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Severe COVID-19 can lead to cytokine storm, worsening patient outcomes.
- Tocilizumab, an interleukin-6 receptor antagonist, is a potential therapeutic for severe COVID-19.
- Identifying predictors of mortality is crucial for managing critically ill patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate clinical predictors of mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients receiving tocilizumab therapy.
- To identify factors associated with worse prognosis in patients treated with tocilizumab for COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study conducted across 4 centers.
- Inclusion of demographic, clinical, and laboratory data from medical records.
- Primary endpoint: in-hospital mortality.
Main Results:
- Mortality rate was 25.6% in 39 critically ill COVID-19 patients treated with tocilizumab.
- Significant differences observed between survivors and non-survivors in age, CALL score, GRAM score, and white blood cell count.
- Invasive mechanical ventilation at tocilizumab administration was associated with 100% mortality.
Conclusions:
- Advanced age, elevated leukocyte count, higher CALL and GRAM scores, and need for invasive mechanical ventilation predict worse outcomes.
- These factors are critical for assessing prognosis in COVID-19 patients receiving tocilizumab.
- The PaO2/FiO2 ratio on day 7 post-therapy, not earlier, correlated with mortality.
Objective:
A substantial number of patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) demonstrate severe infection. Cytokine storm is an underlying condition that worsens clinical outcomes. As an interleukin-6 receptor antagonist, tocilizumab is a promising treatment option for COVID-19. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical predictors of mortality for critically ill COVID-19 patients receiving tocilizumab therapy.
Material And Methods:
The retrospective cohort study was conducted in 4 centers' both wards and intensive care units between March 20 and May 20, 2020. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were consecutively drawn from medical records. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality.
Results:
In this study, 39 patients (28.2% female) were included, and the mortality rate was 25.6% (n = 10). There was statistically significant difference between survivor and non-survivor groups regarding age (53.0 (46.5-65.0) vs. 75.0 (68.25-81.25), respectively,P = .001), CALL score (8.0 (7.0-10.0) vs. 12.0 (9.75-13.0), P = .001), GRAM score (119.5 (99.5-142.0) vs. 155.0 (129.8-226.0), P = .004), and white blood cell count (k/mL) (5.6 (3.8-8.6) vs. 8.0 (7.6-9.3), P = .003). The patients who were on invasive mechanical ventilation at the time of tocilizumab administration had a higher mortality rate (100% vs. 25.9%, P < .001). Besides, arterial partial pressure of oxygen/ fraction of inspiratory oxygen (PaO2/FiO2) ratio on day 7, but not on days 0, 1, and 3 of tocilizumab therapy, was associated with mortal- ity. C-reactive protein (mg/dL) tended to be lower in the survivor group; however, it was not statistically significant (68.4 (32.7-157.5) vs. 113.5 (77.7-219.0), P = .058).
Conclusion:
This study demonstrated that advanced age, increased leukocyte count, higher CALL and GRAM scores, and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation revealed a worse prognosis after tocilizumab treatment.
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