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Preference prediction analysis based on graph model for environmental governance conflict.

Jinshuai Zhao1, Baohua Yang2

  • 1School of Computer Science and Technology, Jiangsu Normal University, No.101 Shanghai Road, Tongshan District, Xuzhou 221116, China.

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering : MBE
|May 23, 2022
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a mathematical model to predict decision-maker preferences in environmental conflicts, aiding environmental management. The model helps understand polluting companies' motivations for better governance strategies.

Keywords:
conflict analysisdecision makingenvironmental governanceenvironmental pollutionenvironmental protectiongraph modelpreference prediction

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Mathematical Modeling
  • Game Theory

Background:

  • Rapid economic development has led to severe environmental pollution.
  • Profit-seeking sewage companies often evade environmental governance.
  • Environmental management struggles to accurately assess offending company preferences.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a mathematical model for predicting decision-maker preferences in environmental governance conflicts.
  • To accurately obtain the preference set of one decision-maker when others' preferences and ideal outcomes are known.
  • To provide strategic decision-making support for environmental governance.

Main Methods:

  • Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR)
  • Mathematical modeling for preference prediction
  • Information entropy for preference value distribution analysis

Main Results:

  • A novel mathematical model accurately predicts decision-maker preferences in environmental conflicts.
  • The model successfully mines preference information using information entropy.
  • A case study on chromium pollution in Qujing County validates the method's effectiveness.

Conclusions:

  • The developed preference prediction model offers effective decision-making support for environmental governance.
  • The method enables understanding of conflict opponents' preferences at their ideal outcomes.
  • This approach facilitates the selection of appropriate coping strategies to steer conflicts favorably.