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A Comparison between Indoor and Outdoor Rape Suspects in Sweden
Ardavan Khoshnood1, Henrik Ohlsson1, Jan Sundquist1
1Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.
Rape cases are rising in Sweden, but convictions are falling. This study analyzed rape offender characteristics and locations, finding outdoor rape suspects were more likely to be first-generation immigrants or have prior violent crime convictions.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Sociology
- Public Health
Background:
- Rising rape rates and decreasing conviction rates in Sweden necessitate research into offender profiles and crime circumstances.
- Understanding the characteristics of individuals suspected of rape (rape+) is crucial for developing effective prevention and intervention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify distinct classes of rape+ suspects based on crime location (indoor vs. outdoor).
- To compare characteristics of suspects involved in indoor versus outdoor rape+ incidents.
- To examine risk factors associated with outdoor rape+.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Swedish population-based registers for data from 2007-2017.
- Included individuals suspected of rape, aggravated rape, attempted rape, or attempted aggravated rape against adult females.
- Employed Latent Class Analysis to identify suspect classes based on crime location.
Main Results:
- A total of 19,723 individuals suspected of rape+ were analyzed.
- The majority of cases (88.8%) involved indoor rape+.
- First-generation immigrants and suspects with prior violent crime convictions showed higher odds of being involved in outdoor rape+.
Conclusions:
- Distinct offender classes exist for both indoor and outdoor rape+.
- Immigration status and history of violent crime are significant factors associated with outdoor rape+.
- Findings highlight potential disparities and risk factors that warrant further investigation and targeted interventions.
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