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Multiple regression model to analyze the total LOS for patients undergoing laparoscopic appendectomy
Teresa Angela Trunfio1, Arianna Scala2, Cristiana Giglio3
1Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, University Hospital of Naples 'Federico II', Naples, Italy.
Predicting patient Length of Stay (LOS) is crucial for hospital resource management. This study developed a model for laparoscopic appendectomy patients, identifying age and complications as key predictors.
Area of Science:
- Healthcare Management
- Medical Informatics
- Surgical Outcomes
Background:
- Increasing healthcare complexity and cost pressures necessitate efficient hospital management.
- Length of Stay (LOS) is a key metric for evaluating hospital service efficiency and cost control.
- Accurate LOS prediction is vital for optimizing resource allocation and patient care pathways.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a predictive model for the total Length of Stay (LOS) in patients undergoing laparoscopic appendectomy.
- To identify key factors influencing LOS for this common emergency surgical procedure.
- To provide a tool for enhancing preoperative pathways and hospital resource planning.
Main Methods:
- A multiple linear regression model was constructed using demographic and clinical data.
- Data from 357 patients admitted for laparoscopic appendectomy at a university hospital were analyzed.
- Independent variables included patient demographics, pre-operative LOS, and diagnosis characteristics.
Main Results:
- The predictive model achieved an R-squared value of 0.570.
- Significant predictors of total LOS were identified as Age, Pre-operative LOS, Presence of Complication, and Complicated diagnosis.
- The model demonstrates the influence of specific patient factors on surgical LOS.
Conclusions:
- An effective, automated strategy for predicting LOS was developed.
- Improved LOS prediction can enhance preoperative patient management and hospital resource forecasting.
- This approach aids in optimizing bed occupancy and managing related hospital resources proactively.
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