Long-term Risk of Bleeding and Ischemic Events After Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack in Young Adults

Guidelines recommend antithrombotic medication as secondary prevention for patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) at young age based on results from trials in older patients. We investigated the long-term risk of bleeding and ischemic events in young patients after ischemic stroke or TIA.

We included 30-day survivors of first-ever ischemic stroke or TIA aged 18-50 years from the Follow-Up of TIA and Stroke Patients and Unelucidated Risk Factor Evaluation (FUTURE) study, a prospective cohort study of stroke at young age. We obtained information on recurrent ischemia based on structured data collection from 1995 until 2014 as part of the FUTURE study follow-up, complemented with information on any bleeding and ischemic events by retrospective chart review from baseline until last medical consultation or June 2020. Primary outcome was any bleeding; secondary outcome any ischemic event during follow-up. Both were stratified for sex, age, etiology, and use of antithrombotic medication at discharge. Bleeding and ischemic events were classified according to location and bleeding events also by severity.

We included 544 patients (56.1% women, median age of 42.2; interquartile range [IQR] 36.5-46.7 years) with a median follow-up of 9.6 (IQR 2.5-14.3) years. Ten-year cumulative risk of any bleeding event was 21.8% (95% CI 17.4-26.0) and 33.9% (95% CI 28.3-37.5) of any ischemic event. Risk of bleeding was higher in women with a cumulative risk of 28.2% (95% CI 21.6-34.3) vs 13.7% (95% CI 8.2-18.9) in men (p < 0.01), mainly because of gynecologic bleeds. Female sex (p < 0.001) and age between 40 and 49 years (p = 0.04) were independent predictors of bleeding.

Young patients after ischemic stroke or TIA have a substantial long-term risk of both bleeding (especially women) and ischemic events. Future studies should investigate the effects of long-term antithrombotics in young patients, taking into account the risk of bleeding complications.