Machine Learning-Based CT Radiomics Method for Identifying the Stage of Wilms Tumor in Children

To develop and validate a machine learning-based CT radiomics method for preoperatively predicting the stages (stage I and non-stage I) of Wilms tumor (WT) in pediatric patients.

A total of 118 patients with WT, who underwent contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) scans in our center between 2014 and 2021, were studied retrospectively and divided into two groups: stage I and non-stage I disease. Patients were randomly divided into training cohorts (n = 94) and test cohorts (n = 24). A total of 1,781 radiomic features from seven feature classes were extracted from preoperative portal venous-phase images of abdominal CT. Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE) was used to handle imbalanced datasets, followed by a t-test and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regularization for feature selection. Support Vector Machine (SVM) was deployed using the selected informative features to develop the predicting model. The performance of the model was evaluated according to its accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was also arranged to assess the model performance.

The SVM model was fitted with 15 radiomic features obtained by t-test and LASSO concerning WT staging in the training dataset and demonstrated favorable performance in the testing dataset. Cross-validated AUC on the training dataset was 0.79 with a 95 percent confidence interval (CI) of 0.773-0.815 and a coefficient of variation of 3.76%, while AUC on the test dataset was 0.81, and accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.79, 0.87, and 0.69, respectively.

The machine learning model of SVM based on radiomic features extracted from CT images accurately predicted WT stage I and non-stage I disease in pediatric patients preoperatively, which provided a rapid and non-invasive way for investigation of WT stages.