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Comparison of Risk of Serious Cardiovascular Events after Hemorrhagic versus Ischemic Stroke: A Population-Based
Ralph K Akyea1, Georgios Georgiopoulos2, Barbara Iyen1
1Primary Care Stratified Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Insights
Patients with hemorrhagic stroke face a similar risk of subsequent cardiovascular events as those with ischemic stroke. This finding suggests that individuals with a history of hemorrhagic stroke should be considered high-risk for future cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular epidemiology
- Neurology
- Public health
Background:
- Ischemic stroke patients are high-risk for cardiovascular events, necessitating intensive preventive strategies.
- Current guidelines lack clear recommendations for considering hemorrhagic stroke patients as high-risk for cardiovascular disease.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the risk of subsequent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality between patients who have experienced hemorrhagic stroke versus ischemic stroke.
Main Methods:
- Utilized UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD) linked to Hospital Episode Statistics data.
- Identified patients aged 18 years or older with incident hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke between 1998 and 2017, excluding those with prior serious vascular events.
- Followed a cohort of 32,091 patients for a median of 11.8 years (381,237 person-years).
Main Results:
- Adjusted analyses revealed no significant difference in the risk of subsequent cardiovascular morbidity (coronary heart disease, recurrent stroke, peripheral vascular disease, heart failure) between hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke groups.
- Patients with hemorrhagic stroke exhibited a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular disease-related mortality (HR: 2.35) and all-cause mortality (HR: 2.16) compared to ischemic stroke patients.
- Propensity-score matched analysis confirmed similar risks for cardiovascular morbidity outcomes.
Conclusions:
- The risk of subsequent cardiovascular events is comparable between patients with incident hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke.
- Patients with a history of hemorrhagic stroke should be recognized as a very high-risk population for subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Background:
Patients with ischemic stroke are considered a very high risk population for subsequent cardiovascular events and guidelines recommend intensive preventive strategies. However, there is no clear recommendation that patients with hemorrhagic stroke should also be regarded as a very high cardiovascular risk population.
Objective:
To compare the risk of subsequent cardiovascular morbidity/mortality between patients with incident hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke.
Methods:
Patients aged ≥18 years with incident hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke between 1998 and 2017 and no prior history of serious vascular event were identified from UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD) linked to Hospital Episode Statistics data.
Results:
The cohort included 32,091 patients with an overall follow-up of 381,237 person-years (median: 11.8 years). After adjusting for potential confounders, patients with incident hemorrhagic stroke had no significantly different risk of subsequent cardiovascular morbidity compared with patients with incident ischemic stroke-coronary heart disease (CHD; hazard ratio [HR]: 0.86, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.56-1.32), recurrent stroke (HR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.83-1.02), peripheral vascular disease (PVD; HR: 1.15, 95% CI:0.56-2.38), or heart failure (HR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.61-1.74). Patients with incident hemorrhagic stroke had significantly higher risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality (HR: 2.35, 95% CI: 2.04-2.72) and all-cause mortality (HR: 2.16, 95% CI: 1.94-2.41). Propensity-score matched analysis of 1,039 patients with hemorrhagic stroke and 1,039 with ischemic stroke showed similar risk in subsequent cardiovascular morbidity-CHD (stratified HR [sHR]: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.55-1.54), recurrent stroke (sHR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.82-1.02), PVD (sHR: 1.04 95% CI: 0.45-2.41), or heart failure (sHR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.39-1.27).
Conclusion:
The risk of subsequent cardiovascular events is similar between patients with incident hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke. Patients with previous hemorrhagic stroke should be regarded as a population at very high risk for subsequent CVD.
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