Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models for time courses of antibiotic effects

Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PKPD) models have emerged as valuable tools for the characterization and translation of antibiotic effects, and consequently for drug development and therapy. In contrast to traditional PKPD concepts for antibiotics such as minimum inhibitory concentration and PKPD indices, PKPD models enable description of the continuous, often species- or population-dependent time course of antimicrobial effects, commonly considering mechanistic pathogen- and drug-related knowledge. This review presents a comprehensive overview of previously published PKPD models describing repeated measurements of antibiotic effects. A literature review was conducted to identify PKPD models based on: (i) antibiotic compounds; (ii) Gram-positive or Gram-negative pathogens; and (iii) in-vitro or in-vivo longitudinal colony-forming unit data. In total, 132 publications were identified that were released between 1963 and 2021, including models based on exposure to single antibiotics (n=92) and drug combinations (n=40), as well as different experimental settings (e.g. static/traditional dynamic/hollow-fibre/animal time-kill models, n=90/27/32/11). An interactive, fully searchable table summarizes the details of each model, namely variants and mechanistic elements of PKPD submodels capturing observed bacterial growth, regrowth, drug effects and interactions. Furthermore, the review highlights the main purposes of PKPD model development, including the translation of preclinical PKPD to clinical settings, and the assessment of varied dosing regimens and patient characteristics for their impact on clinical antibiotic effects. In summary, this comprehensive overview of PKPD models will assist in identifying PKPD modelling strategies to describe growth, killing, regrowth and interaction patterns for pathogen-antibiotic combinations over time, and ultimately facilitate model-informed antibiotic translation, dosing and drug development.