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Generating function approach to the effective degree SIR model.

Slim Ibrahim1, Junling Ma1, Kurtis Manke2

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada.

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|June 12, 2022
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a new partial differential equation approach for the effective degree SIR model, enabling analysis of disease dynamics on complex networks. The method allows for studying infinite scale-free networks and disease thresholds.

Keywords:
Contact networkEffective degree SIR ModelWell-posedness

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Network Science
  • Mathematical Biology

Background:

  • The effective degree SIR model analyzes disease spread on networks with lifetime immunity.
  • Current models struggle with infinite degree distributions like scale-free networks.
  • Existing methods often use ordinary differential equations for neighbor infection status.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel approach for the effective degree SIR model applicable to infinite degree networks.
  • To establish the mathematical foundation for analyzing disease dynamics on complex contact networks.
  • To provide a framework for studying disease-free steady states and thresholds in large-scale networks.

Main Methods:

  • A generating function approach was used to transform the SIR model into a nonlinear partial differential equation.
  • Existence and uniqueness of biologically relevant solutions were demonstrated.
  • The model was shown to reduce to the Volz model under specific independence assumptions.

Main Results:

  • A new partial differential equation formulation for the effective degree SIR model was derived.
  • The mathematical existence and uniqueness of relevant solutions were proven.
  • The connection to the Volz model was established, validating the new approach.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed generating function method extends SIR modeling to infinite degree networks.
  • This work provides a robust framework for analyzing epidemic thresholds and stability.
  • The findings pave the way for more comprehensive studies of disease dynamics on complex systems.