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Bayesian bandwidth estimation and semi-metric selection for a functional partial linear model with unknown error
1Research School of Finance, Actuarial Studies and Statistics, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
This study introduces an optimal functional partial linear model for improved estimation and forecasting. The Bayesian method enhances accuracy for bandwidth and semi-metric selection in functional data analysis.
Area of Science:
- Statistics
- Functional Data Analysis
Background:
- Accurate estimation of regression functions and error densities is crucial in functional data analysis.
- Existing methods may not optimally select bandwidth and semi-metric parameters.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an optimal functional partial linear model.
- To improve estimation and forecast accuracy for functional data.
- To propose a Bayesian method for simultaneous bandwidth and semi-metric estimation.
Main Methods:
- Estimating error density using kernel density estimation.
- Employing functional principal component and Nadayara-Watson estimators for regression components.
- Utilizing a Bayesian approach to minimize Kullback-Leibler divergence for optimal parameter selection.
Main Results:
- The proposed functional partial linear model demonstrates superior estimation and forecast accuracy in simulations.
- The model outperforms functional principal component regression and functional nonparametric regression.
- The functional partial linear model shows better forecast accuracy on a spectroscopy dataset.
Conclusions:
- The Bayesian method effectively estimates bandwidth and semi-metric, enhancing functional regression models.
- The functional partial linear model offers improved predictive performance for functional data.
- Pointwise prediction intervals and semi-metric selection are facilitated by the Bayesian approach.
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