Developing a computational pharmacokinetic model of systemic snakebite envenomation and antivenom treatment

Snakebite envenomation is responsible for over 100,000 deaths and 400,000 cases of disability annually, most of which are preventable through access to safe and effective antivenoms. Snake venom toxins span a wide molecular weight range, influencing their absorption, distribution, and elimination within the body. In recent years, a range of scaffolds have been applied to antivenom development. These scaffolds similarly span a wide molecular weight range and subsequently display diverse pharmacokinetic behaviours. Computational simulations represent a powerful tool to explore the interplay between these varied antivenom scaffolds and venoms, to assess whether a pharmacokinetically optimal antivenom exists. The purpose of this study was to establish a computational model of systemic snakebite envenomation and treatment, for the quantitative assessment and comparison of conventional and next-generation antivenoms. A two-compartment mathematical model of envenomation and treatment was defined and the system was parameterised using existing data from rabbits. Elimination and biodistribution parameters were regressed against molecular weight to predict the dynamics of IgG, F(ab')₂, Fab, scFv, and nanobody antivenoms, spanning a size range of 15-150 kDa. As a case study, intramuscular envenomation by Naja sumatrana (equatorial spitting cobra) and its treatment using Fab, F(ab')₂, and IgG antivenoms was simulated. Variable venom dose tests were applied to visualise effective antivenom dose levels. Comparisons to existing antivenoms and experimental rescue studies highlight the large dose reductions that could result from recombinant antivenom use. This study represents the first comparative in silico model of snakebite envenomation and treatment.