Mortality changes for patients with pneumococcal pneumonia from 2012 to 2017 in Japan

Pneumococcal pneumonia has a high morbidity and mortality in adults, especially those ≥65 years old. In the past decade, pneumococcal vaccination programs have been initiated worldwide, however, few data concerning mortality changes are available in pneumococcal pneumonia patients and there are no reports clarifying these current changes in Japan.

Japanese patients ≥65 years old hospitalized with pneumococcal pneumonia between April 2012 and March 2018 were analyzed using the Diagnostic Procedure Combination database. In-hospital mortality was evaluated, and the odds ratios for this outcome in each fiscal year compared with that in 2012 was analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models.

Between 2012 and 2017, data of 47,375 pneumococcal pneumonia patients ≥65 years old were extracted. The incidence per 1000 person-years for in-hospital mortality was 60.4 in 2012, 56.8 in 2013, 63.2 in 2014, 56.1 in 2015, 73.0 in 2016, and 67.4 in 2017 and the odds ratios for in-hospital mortality in 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017 compared with that in 2012 were 1.00, 1.05, 1.04, 1.06, and 0.98, respectively. There were no significant differences between 2012 and each year from 2013 to 2017. Low BMI; low ADL score; high A-DROP score; comorbid malignancy and heart failure; the coexistence of invasive pneumococcal infection; and the use of invasive mechanical ventilation were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality.

There were no changes in in-hospital mortality in pneumococcal pneumonia patients between 2012 or each year from 2013 to 2017 and further epidemiological observations are necessary.