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Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index is Associated with Hospital Death in Elderly Patients with Multiple Organ
Zhi Mao1, Tao Wen1, Xiaoli Liu2
1Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Medical Center, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Purpose:
Elderly patients with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) have a higher mortality during hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU). Elderly patients often suffer from malnutrition. On the basis of the MIMIC-III database, this study analyzed the effect of the baseline nutritional status on the death of elderly patients with MODS during hospitalization.
Materials And Methods:
Elderly patients with MODS were screened out from MIMIC-III 1.4 database. The geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) was calculated and used to group patients into: normal nutrition (GNRI > 98) and malnutrition (GNRI ≤ 98) groups. The malnutrition group was divided into mild (92-98), moderate (82-91), and severe (≤81) groups. The differences in the baseline data and the incidence of adverse events between groups were compared. The GAM model was used to determine whether a curve relationship was present between the hospital death of elderly patients with MODS and GNRI and analyze the threshold saturation effect. The multivariate logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) of in-hospital deaths in different GNRI groups. The interaction test was performed to find subgroups with differences.
Results:
A total of 2456 elderly patients with MODS were enrolled. A total of 1,273 (51.8%) and 1183 (48.2%) patients were in the normal nutrition and malnutrition groups, respectively. The mortality rate of patients in the normal nutrition group during hospitalization was lower than that in the malnutrition group (206/1273 vs. 292/1183, X2 = 27.410, P < 0.001; OR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.48-0.72). The GAM model fitting analysis showed a threshold saturation effect at GNRI = 92. Adjusted OR values with GNRI ≥ 92 began to change to 1, and GNRI and death had no association. At GNRI < 92, high GNRI related to low risk of death. Subgroup analysis of patients with GNRI < 92 showed that the risk of death in elderly male patients was lower than that of female patients.
Conclusion:
GNRI is related to the severity of illness in elderly patients with MODS. At GNRI < 92, moderate to severe malnutrition increases the risk of death in elderly patients with MODS during hospitalization.
Insights
Elderly patients with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) face higher mortality. Baseline nutritional status, assessed by geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI), significantly impacts survival, with malnutrition increasing death risk.
Area of Science:
- Geriatric Medicine
- Critical Care Medicine
- Nutritional Science
Background:
- Elderly patients in intensive care units (ICUs) often experience multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS).
- Malnutrition is a common comorbidity in elderly patients, potentially exacerbating MODS outcomes.
- Baseline nutritional status is a critical factor influencing hospitalization mortality in this vulnerable population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between baseline nutritional status and in-hospital mortality among elderly patients diagnosed with MODS.
- To analyze the impact of nutritional risk, quantified by the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI), on mortality outcomes in elderly MODS patients.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the MIMIC-III database to screen and enroll elderly patients with MODS.
- Calculated the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) to categorize patients into normal nutrition and varying degrees of malnutrition.
- Employed Generalized Additive Models (GAM) to assess the relationship between GNRI and mortality, identifying threshold effects.
- Conducted multivariate logistic regression and subgroup analyses to determine the independent association of GNRI with in-hospital death.
Main Results:
- A total of 2456 elderly patients with MODS were analyzed, with 51.8% in the normal nutrition group and 48.2% in the malnutrition group.
- Patients in the malnutrition group exhibited a significantly higher mortality rate compared to those with normal nutrition (48.2% vs. 20.4%, P < 0.001).
- GAM analysis revealed a threshold saturation effect at GNRI = 92; mortality risk was associated with GNRI values below 92, with higher GNRI correlating to lower risk. Male patients showed a lower risk of death than female patients within the GNRI < 92 subgroup.
Conclusions:
- The geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) is a significant indicator of illness severity and mortality risk in elderly patients with MODS.
- Moderate to severe malnutrition (GNRI < 92) substantially increases the risk of in-hospital death in elderly patients with MODS.
- Nutritional status is a modifiable factor that warrants attention for improving outcomes in elderly MODS patients.
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