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Construction and Verification of Nomogram Model for Lung Adenocarcinoma With ≤ 5 Bone-Only Metastases Basing on
Chunliu Meng1, Fang Wang1,2, Minghong Chen3
1Department of Radiation Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, China.
Objectives:
This retrospective study investigated prognostic factors in advanced lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) with one to five bone-only metastasis (BOM) and developed a nomogram model to estimate patient survival.
Methods:
We investigated patients with advanced LUAD with one to five bone-only metastasis at the initial diagnosis and diagnosed between 2013 and 2019 in two hospitals. A formula named Risk-H was constructed using hematological variables screened by LASSO-Cox regression analysis in the internal set and verified by the external set. Two nomogram models were developed by clinical variables selected by LASSO-Cox regression analysis with or without Risk-H in the internal set. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, area under the curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were formulated to verify nomogram models. The primary endpoint was overall survival.
Results:
We finally included 125 and 69 patients, respectively, in the internal and external sets for analysis. The following were significant hematology prognostic factors and were included in the Risk-H formula: alkaline phosphatase and albumin, leukocyte. Four clinical factors, including loss of weight, sensitive mutation status, T and N stage, with or without Risk-H were used to establish nomogram models. C-index, calibration curves, ROC analysis, AUC, and DCA showed the addition of hematological data improved the predictive accuracy of survival.
Conclusions:
Pretreatment peripheral blood indexes may be a meaningful serum biomarker for prognosis in LUAD. The addition of Risk-H to the nomogram model could serve as a more economical, powerful, and practical method to predict survival for LUAD patients with one to five BOM.
