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Published on: February 26, 2013
Preoperative Atrial Fibrillation and Cardiovascular Outcomes After Noncardiac Surgery
Sameer Prasada1, Milind Y Desai1, Marwan Saad2
1Heart, Thoracic and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Insights
Pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of mortality, heart failure, and stroke after noncardiac surgery. AF also improves the prediction of these adverse events when combined with standard risk scores.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Perioperative Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- The impact of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) on outcomes following noncardiac surgery (NCS) remains unclear.
- Understanding this association is crucial for optimizing patient care and risk stratification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between pre-existing AF and adverse outcomes after NCS.
- To evaluate the incremental predictive value of AF in addition to established risk indices.
Main Methods:
- A nationwide cohort of Medicare beneficiaries undergoing NCS from 2015-2019 was analyzed.
- Patients were categorized into groups with and without AF, and propensity score matching was employed to control for confounding factors.
- Key outcomes included 30-day mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, and heart failure.
Main Results:
- In a cohort of over 8.6 million patients, 16.4% had pre-existing AF.
- After matching, AF was linked to significantly higher risks of mortality (OR 1.31), heart failure (OR 1.31), and stroke (OR 1.40), but a lower risk of myocardial infarction (OR 0.81).
- AF demonstrated improved discriminative ability when added to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI), increasing the C-statistic from 0.73 to 0.76.
Conclusions:
- Pre-existing AF is an independent predictor of adverse postoperative outcomes after noncardiac surgery.
- Incorporating AF status into risk assessment models can enhance the prediction of surgical complications.
Background:
The impact of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) on outcomes after noncardiac surgery is not clear.
Objectives:
We aimed to study the impact of AF on the risk of adverse outcomes after noncardiac surgery in a nationwide cohort.
Methods:
We identified Medicare beneficiaries admitted for noncardiac surgery from 2015 to 2019 and divided the study cohort into 2 groups: with and without AF. Noncardiac surgery was classified into vascular, thoracic, general, genitourinary, gynecological, orthopedics and neurosurgery, breast, head and neck, and transplant. We used propensity score matching on exact age, sex, race, urgency and type of surgery, revised cardiac risk index (RCRI) and CHA2DS2-VASc score, and tight caliper on other comorbidities. The study outcomes were 30-day mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, and heart failure. We examined the incremental utility of AF in addition to RCRI to predict adverse events after noncardiac surgery.
Results:
The study cohort included 8,635,758 patients who underwent noncardiac surgery (16.4% with AF). Patients with AF were older, more likely to be men, and had higher prevalence of comorbidities. After propensity score matching, AF was associated with higher risk of mortality (OR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.30-1.32), heart failure (OR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.30-1.33), and stroke (OR: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.37-1.43) and lower risk of myocardial infarction (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.79-0.82). Results were consistent in subgroup analysis by sex, race, type of surgery, and all strata of RCRI and CHA2DS2-VASc score. AF improved the discriminative ability of RCRI (C-statistic 0.73 to 0.76).
Conclusion:
Pre-existing AF is independently associated with postoperative adverse outcomes after NCS.
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