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Variety of evidence in multimessenger astronomy
1Indiana University Bloomington, Department of Philosophy, 1033 E. Third St., Sycamore Hall 026, Bloomington, IN 47405, USA.
Abstract:
The confirmation of models in multimessenger astronomy requires variety of evidence. Variety of evidence (VoE) should be understood as an eliminative epistemic principle: where multiple and heterogenous types of evidence converge upon model assumptions or predictions, confidence in the representational accuracy of that model and/or its assumptions is made stronger than if sources of evidence were homogenous. Varied evidence increases confidence indirectly by providing grounds upon which to eliminate under-supported alternatives. I discuss the role VoE reasoning plays in multimessenger astronomy, emphasizing the oft-neglected constraint of chronological evidential support to capture the importance of time series and timescales in astronomy. I then show that in a key case, the convergence of varied types of empirical observations lends confirmatory support to the kilonova model of neutron star mergers.1.
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