Does allostatic load predict incidental coronary events differently among sexes?
Ibrahim Demirer1, Börge Schmidt2, Sara Schramm2
1Institute of Medical Sociology Health Services Research, And Rehabilitation Science (IMVR), University of Cologne, Germany.
Allostatic load (AL) scores effectively predict coronary events (C-E). The count-based method is recommended for clinical practice due to its simplicity and strong predictive performance, especially for females.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Health Outcomes
Background:
- Allostatic load (AL) quantifies physiological dysregulation using multiple biomarkers.
- AL is associated with adverse health outcomes, including cardiovascular diseases and coronary events (C-E).
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive performance of different allostatic load (AL) scoring methods for coronary events (C-E).
- To investigate sex differences in baseline C-E risk and AL-associated C-E risk.
Main Methods:
- Longitudinal analysis of 4327 participants from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study.
- Applied count-based, Z-score, and logistic regression weighting method (LRM) for AL scoring.
- Used Cox regression to predict C-E incidence, with and without covariate adjustment and interaction analysis with sex.
Main Results:
- All AL scoring methods significantly predicted C-E; LRM showed the best initial performance.
- After covariate adjustment, count-based and LRM methods outperformed the Z-score method.
- Interaction analysis revealed a more pronounced effect of AL on C-E for females at higher AL levels.
Conclusions:
- Allostatic load (AL) scores are valuable for predicting coronary events (C-E).
- The count-based AL method is suitable for clinical practice due to its simplicity and performance.
- Females may benefit more from interventions targeting AL due to sex-specific risk interactions.
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