Australian vaccine preventable disease epidemiological review series: measles, 2012-2019

Data sources, relevant to measles epidemiology from 2012 to 2019, were reviewed in the context of Australia's certification, by the World Health Organization in 2014, of the elimination of measles.

Data on measles notifications, hospitalisations, and deaths were obtained from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System, the National Hospital Morbidity Database, and the Australian Coordinating Registry. Data were analysed by age group, state/territory, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status, genotype, place of acquisition, source of infection (importation status), and vaccination status.

Between 2012 and 2019, there were 1,337 measles notifications (average annual notifications 0.7 per 100,000 population per year) and 425 hospitalisations with measles as principal diagnosis (0.3 per 100,000 population per year) were recorded. The highest annual notification rate was in 2014, when the rate in the Northern Territory was 21.4 per 100,000 population per year. Although notification and hospitalisation rates were highest in infants < 12 months (respectively 5.8 and 2.1 per 100,000 population per year), people aged 10 to 39 years (10-19y: 272 notifications; 20-29y: 347; 30-39y: 266) accounted for 66% of notified cases. Of cases with a known vaccination status, only 20/169 (11.8%) of those aged 1-9 years had received at least one dose of measles-containing vaccine, compared with 215/571 (37.7%) of those aged 10-39 years. Persons born before 1966 (at least 47 years of age during the study period) are likely to have immunity from wild-type measles infection and had the lowest notification rates in each year. Of notified cases, 98.1% were imported or import related, and of the 900 measles viruses genotyped, D8 and B3 accounted for 89.1%.

This review's findings of low measles incidence, in the presence of robust surveillance and high two-dose measles vaccination coverage, provide evidence of continued elimination of endemic measles in Australia, with almost all cases imported or epidemiologically linked to an imported case. Most cases eligible for vaccination are unvaccinated, which should remain the primary focus for prevention. Potential waning immunity in older age groups requires monitoring. Continued high population immunity and high-quality public health response to cases will be needed to maintain Australia's elimination status, particularly once international borders reopen.