Heart rate variability as a biomarker in patients with Chronic Chagas Cardiomyopathy with or without concomitant

Luiz Eduardo Virgilio Silva1, Henrique Turin Moreira1, Marina Madureira de Oliveira1

  • 1Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Av. Bandeirantes, 3900, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, 14048-900, Brazil.

Insights

Heart rate variability (HRV) analysis helps predict Chagas heart disease (CCC) prognosis. Increased heart rate fragmentation indicates a worse outlook, especially in patients with digestive involvement.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Autonomic Nervous System Research
  • Medical Data Analysis

Background:

  • Dysautonomia contributes to Chronic Chagas Cardiomyopathy (CCC) pathogenesis and digestive issues.
  • Heart rate variability (HRV) is crucial for risk stratification in CCC.
  • Investigating HRV differences in isolated CCC versus mixed (CCC + digestive) forms is essential.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess HRV's ability to stratify death risk in CCC patients.
  • To compare HRV alterations in isolated CCC versus mixed CCC forms.
  • To develop machine learning models for CCC risk prediction.

Main Methods:

  • 31 CCC patients were categorized into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups based on Rassi score.
  • 10-20 minute single-lead ECGs were recorded to generate RR series and calculate 31 HRV indices.
  • Four machine learning models were developed to predict patient risk class.

Main Results:

  • High-risk CCC patients showed decreased phase entropy and increased inflection points compared to low-risk.
  • Mixed form patients exhibited reduced RR histogram triangular interpolation and low-frequency power.
  • Support vector machine model achieved the highest predictive accuracy (F1-score of 0.61).

Conclusions:

  • The mixed form of Chagas disease is linked to diminished slow HRV components.
  • Worse CCC prognosis correlates with increased heart rate fragmentation.
  • Combining HRV indices improves risk stratification accuracy; mixed form may involve sympathetic and parasympathetic impairment.
Abstract

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