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Pandemic payment patterns.
Nicole Jonker1, Carin van der Cruijsen1, Michiel Bijlsma2,3
1De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB), The Netherlands.
Summary
The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated a shift from cash to debit card payments, with 60% of this change persisting post-lockdown. This trend, particularly for contactless payments, was most pronounced among elderly individuals.
Area of Science:
- Behavioral Economics
- Consumer Behavior
- Payment Systems
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic altered the perceived costs and benefits of various payment methods.
- Cash usage became riskier and less convenient, while debit card use became more advantageous.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze shifts in consumer payment behavior and preferences during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Netherlands.
- To quantify the impact of lockdown periods on the adoption of debit cards over cash.
Main Methods:
- Utilized daily payment diary survey data from a representative panel of Dutch consumers (January 2018 - December 2021).
- Compared payment behavior during two lockdown periods (2020, 2021) against pre-pandemic trends.
Main Results:
- Debit card usage increased by 12 percentage points compared to trend levels, at the expense of cash.
- Approximately 60% of this accelerated shift persisted after the first lockdown, with some lasting effects after the second.
- The pandemic accelerated Point-of-Sale (POS) debit card usage and increased preference for contactless payments, especially among the elderly.
Conclusions:
- The COVID-19 pandemic significantly accelerated the transition towards debit card and contactless payments.
- Observed behavioral changes in payment methods show persistence beyond immediate lockdown measures.
- Elderly consumers exhibited the most substantial shifts in payment behavior and preferences.
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