Interval timing in a hierarchical violation-of-expectation task: Dissociable effects of local and global predictions

Predictability associated with an event influences its perceived time. The two forms of predictions that are often discussed and have a dissociable influence on perceived time are repetition and expectation. However, predictions based on expectation can be seen at multiple levels, potentially leading to an inconsistency in the pattern in which expectation influences perceived time. Therefore, the present study aimed to investigate how different levels of predictions impact perceived time. In two separate experiments utilizing visual and auditory stimuli, we used a hierarchical violation-of-expectation paradigm that can dissociate two types of predictions based on local and global rules. Results from analysis of variance computed with local and global predictions revealed a pattern of local and global predictions having a distinct influence on perceived time. More specifically, while the local predictions that consider the immediate stimulus exposure reduced the perceived time, the global predictions that consider the overall regularities of a given context increased the perceived time. These results integrate well with the recent theoretical models rooted in a predictive coding framework that emphasizes the opposing effects of the first order and second order predictions on perceived time.