Using analogue data to substantiate long-term durability of gene therapies: a narrative review

The number of gene therapies in clinical trials and moving toward licensure is increasing. Most gene therapies are designed to achieve long-term effects, but at licensure the data to support claims of long-term durability are often limited, as long-term monitoring studies are often part of post-approval commitments by companies. Health technology assessors must therefore assess the potential for the long-term durability of a product and the potential cost-effectiveness based on the data available. The authors explored the benefit of strengthening the ability to infer durability of effect using analogue category data. Different analogue categories were assessed for the potential to substantiate claims of sustainability of effect for gene therapies by leveraging biological plausibility arguments. The authors propose a pathway for identifying potential analogues. Such a pathway should help establish plausible or theoretical long-term outcomes that can be considered in value assessments of gene therapies.