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CUSUMIN: A cumulative sum interval design for cancer phase I dose finding studies
Tomoyoshi Hatayama1, Seiichi Yasui2
1Statistics and Decision Sciences Japan, Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Tokyo, Japan.
A new model-assisted design using cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics improves cancer phase I trials. This approach offers better control over excessive dosing while accurately identifying the maximum tolerated dose compared to existing methods like BOIN.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials
- Biostatistics
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Model-assisted designs, such as the Bayesian optimal interval (BOIN) design, are increasingly used in cancer phase I studies for their balance of performance and simplicity.
- These designs often employ sequential test procedures, similar to those used in control charts for process monitoring.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel model-assisted design for cancer phase I trials utilizing cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics.
- To evaluate the performance of the proposed CUSUM-based design against existing methods like BOIN, mTPI, and Keyboard.
Main Methods:
- The proposed design calculates the next cohort's dose based on CUSUM statistics derived from dose-limiting toxicity counts and pre-defined boundaries.
- Performance was assessed through intensive simulations, comparing the CUSUM design with BOIN, mTPI, and Keyboard.
Main Results:
- The CUSUM-based design demonstrated superior performance in controlling over-dosing rates compared to BOIN, mTPI, and Keyboard.
- The proposed method maintained comparable performance in determining the maximum tolerated dose.
Conclusions:
- The CUSUM statistic offers a more efficient approach for model-assisted designs in cancer phase I clinical trials.
- This novel design enhances safety by reducing over-dosing while effectively identifying the maximum tolerated dose.
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