Advantages of a Novel Model for Predicting Hepatic Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Carriers Compared with APRI

Na-Ling Kang1, Qing-Fa Ruan2, De-Sheng Zhang3

  • 1Department of Hepatology, Hepatology Research Institute, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.

Insights

The GPSA model accurately diagnoses liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers, even with varying normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. This new model outperforms APRI and FIB-4 for predicting significant fibrosis.

Area of Science:

  • Hepatology
  • Virology
  • Diagnostic marker development

Background:

  • Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) are common non-invasive markers for liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.
  • The definition of normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels varies, impacting the reliability of existing fibrosis assessment tools.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic performance of APRI and FIB-4 in chronic HBV carriers with different upper limits of normal (ULNs) for ALT.
  • To develop and validate a novel liver fibrosis predictive model for chronic HBV carriers.

Main Methods:

  • 581 chronic HBV carriers were stratified into four groups based on varying ALT ULNs.
  • An external validation cohort of 106 chronic HBV carriers was utilized.
  • The GPSA (gamma glutamyl transpeptidase, platelet count, HBsAg, albumin) model was developed using multivariate logistic regression and its predictive value assessed via area under the curve (AUC).

Main Results:

  • The GPSA model demonstrated superior diagnostic value for significant fibrosis and cirrhosis across all four groups compared to APRI and FIB-4.
  • AUCs for significant fibrosis using GPSA ranged from 0.857 to 0.905, and for cirrhosis from 0.901 to 0.913.
  • GPSA showed consistent high performance in internal and external validation groups, with AUCs for significant fibrosis around 0.87.

Conclusions:

  • The GPSA model provides accurate diagnosis of liver fibrosis in chronic HBV carriers.
  • The GPSA model is effective across different definitions of normal ALT levels, offering a reliable tool for fibrosis assessment.
Abstract