[Evaluation of the effects of a complex intervention]

Appraising the effects of a complex intervention is one step in a more broadly based research process, from the construction or modelling of the intervention to its actual deployment. It consists in measuring the effectiveness or impact of the intervention, i.e. analyzing its capacity to produce change. The aim of this article is to obtain unbiased measurement of the average effects of an intervention, based on a panel of predetermined parameters and on the assumption of a causal link between the intervention and the measured result. This article is consequently devoted to evaluation of the effects of a complex intervention and focuses on the methodological challenges of its three key stages : 1) modelling of the intervention and feasibility analysis, essential prerequisites ; 2) the choice of study design and of the effects to be measured, that is to say the methodological premises ; and 3) process analysis, carried out in parallel with the evaluation of effects, leading to an indispensable appraisal of the intervention implementation and of the context into which it is integrated. The article is illustrated by five intervention impact assessment projects. A specific objective when evaluating the effects of a complex intervention consists in (a) moving away from a simple search for causality involving the intervention and its effects and (b) toward understanding of the effectiveness mechanisms, once again taking into account the context and the actual conditions of implementation. The challenge is to embrace rather than limit the complexity of the intervention, this being an essential prerequisite for its successful deployment and eventual generalization.