Integrating structured and unstructured data for timely prediction of bloodstream infection among children

Azade Tabaie1, Evan W Orenstein2, Swaminathan Kandaswamy2

  • 1Department of Biomedical Informatics, Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA. a.tabaie.87@gmail.com.

Pediatric Research
|July 19, 2022
PubMed

Insights

Hospitalized children with central venous lines (CVLs) face increased infection risks. Deep learning models integrating electronic health records (EHRs) and clinical notes can predict serious bloodstream infections more accurately.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric healthcare informatics
  • Machine learning in medicine
  • Infectious disease epidemiology

Background:

  • Hospitalized children with central venous lines (CVLs) are susceptible to hospital-acquired infections.
  • Electronic health records (EHRs) offer valuable data for predicting these infections.
  • Serious bloodstream infections (SBSI) pose a significant risk in this vulnerable population.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the efficacy of deep learning models in predicting SBSI among pediatric patients with CVLs.
  • To determine the added value of incorporating clinical notes alongside structured EHR data.
  • To develop an advanced predictive model for rare events in complex healthcare settings.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective cohort study of pediatric patients with CVLs from 2013-2018.
  • Extraction of structured EHR data and unstructured clinical notes.
  • Training deep learning models to predict SBSI, comparing models with and without clinical note integration.

Main Results:

  • The best model using only structured EHR data achieved a specificity of 0.951 and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.056 at 0.85 sensitivity.
  • Incorporating clinical notes via contextualized word embeddings enhanced model performance, increasing specificity to 0.981 and PPV to 0.113.
  • The study included 24,351 patient encounters meeting the inclusion criteria.

Conclusions:

  • Integrating clinical notes with structured EHR data significantly improves the prediction of serious bloodstream infections in pediatric patients with CVLs.
  • This approach offers a more accurate and timely method for identifying at-risk patients.
  • The developed deep learning framework is applicable to predicting rare events in dynamic clinical environments.
Abstract