Can nuclear aquatic environmental DNA be a genetic marker for the accurate estimation of species abundance?

Environmental DNA (eDNA) analysis is a promising tool for the sensitive and effective monitoring of species distribution and abundance. Traditional eDNA analysis has targeted mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) fragments due to their abundance in cells; however, the quantification may vary depending on cell type and physiology. Conversely, some recent eDNA studies have targeted multi-copy nuclear DNA (nuDNA) fragments, such as ribosomal RNA genes, in water, and reported a higher detectability and more rapid degradation than mitochondrial eDNA (mt-eDNA). These properties suggest that nuclear eDNA (nu-eDNA) may be useful for the accurate estimation of species abundance relative to mt-eDNA, but which remains unclear. In this study, we compiled previous studies and re-analyzed the relationships between mt- and nu-eDNA concentration and species abundance by comparing the R² values of the linear regression. We then performed an aquarium experiment using zebrafish (Danio rerio) to compare the relationships across genetic regions, including single-copy nuDNA. We found more accurate relationships between multi-copy nu-eDNA and species abundance than mt-eDNA in these datasets, although the difference was not significant upon weighted-averaging the R² values. Moreover, we compared the decay rate constants of zebrafish eDNA across genetic regions and found that multi-copy nu-eDNA degraded faster than mt-eDNA under pH 7, implying a quick turnover of multi-copy nu-eDNA in the field. Although further empirical studies of nu-eDNA applications are necessary to support our findings, this study provides the groundwork for improving the estimation accuracy of species abundance via eDNA analysis.