How Well Do ICD-9-CM Codes Predict True Congenital Heart Defects? A Centers for Disease Control and Prevention-Based Multisite Validation Project
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Published on: January 8, 2020
Fred H Rodriguez1,2, Cheryl L Raskind-Hood1, Trenton Hoffman1
1Division of Cardiology Emory University School of Medicine and Emory University Rollins School of Public Health Atlanta GA.
Insights
The International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes show a 76.36% positive predictive value (PPV) for identifying congenital heart defects (CHD). While acceptable, further algorithm development is needed for accurate CHD case identification.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Surveillance of Congenital Heart Defects Across the Lifespan project utilizes large clinical and administrative databases.
- Accurate coding of congenital heart defects (CHD) is crucial for estimating population prevalence and understanding epidemiology.
- This project aims to validate the accuracy of ICD-9-CM codes for CHD surveillance.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the positive predictive value (PPV) of International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes for identifying congenital heart defect (CHD) cases.
- To evaluate the accuracy of ICD-9-CM codes in classifying different anatomic groups of CHD.
- To determine if PPV varies by CHD severity and patient age.
Main Methods:
- A validation study was conducted on 774 cases from 4 surveillance sites.
- The study assessed the PPV of 57 ICD-9-CM codes related to CHD.
- Chi-square tests were used to analyze differences in PPV by CHD severity and age groups.
Main Results:
- The overall PPV for identifying a true CHD case using ICD-9-CM codes was 76.36%.
- PPVs were higher for complex CHD (89.85%), shunt (86.73%), and valve (82.99%) categories compared to "Other" CHD (44.39%).
- ICD-9-CM codes demonstrated higher PPVs for younger age groups compared to individuals over 64 years old.
Conclusions:
- CHD ICD-9-CM codes show an acceptable PPV (86.54%) for identifying CHD cases when excluding specific codes.
- Further evaluation and algorithm development are recommended to improve the accuracy of CHD identification across all ICD-9-CM code groups.
- Enhanced algorithms could improve the reliability of CHD surveillance data derived from administrative and clinical databases.
Abstract:
Background The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Surveillance of Congenital Heart Defects Across the Lifespan project uses large clinical and administrative databases at sites throughout the United States to understand population-based congenital heart defect (CHD) epidemiology and outcomes. These individual databases are also relied upon for accurate coding of CHD to estimate population prevalence. Methods and Results This validation project assessed a sample of 774 cases from 4 surveillance sites to determine the positive predictive value (PPV) for identifying a true CHD case and classifying CHD anatomic group accurately based on 57 International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes. Chi-square tests assessed differences in PPV by CHD severity and age. Overall, PPV was 76.36% (591/774 [95% CI, 73.20-79.31]) for all sites and all CHD-related ICD-9-CM codes. Of patients with a code for complex CHD, 89.85% (177/197 [95% CI, 84.76-93.69]) had CHD; corresponding PPV estimates were 86.73% (170/196 [95% CI, 81.17-91.15]) for shunt, 82.99% (161/194 [95% CI, 76.95-87.99]) for valve, and 44.39% (83/187 [95% CI, 84.76-93.69]) for "Other" CHD anatomic group (X2=142.16, P<0.0001). ICD-9-CM codes had higher PPVs for having CHD in the 3 younger age groups compared with those >64 years of age, (X2=4.23, P<0.0001). Conclusions While CHD ICD-9-CM codes had acceptable PPV (86.54%) (508/587 [95% CI, 83.51-89.20]) for identifying whether a patient has CHD when excluding patients with ICD-9-CM codes for "Other" CHD and code 745.5, further evaluation and algorithm development may help inform and improve accurate identification of CHD in data sets across the CHD ICD-9-CM code groups.
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