Determining Underlying Mechanisms of Early Vascular Ageing by Clustered Analysis: The African-PREDICT Study

Identifying individuals at increased risk of early vascular ageing (EVA) is paramount to inform intervention and prevention strategies and curb the increasing burden of cardiovascular disease.

We stratified and phenotyped pre-screened young apparently healthy South African adults (20-30 yrs) (n=1,041) into vascular ageing profile groups based on carotid femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) percentiles (healthy vascular ageing [HVA]; average vascular ageing [AVA] and EVA). We further compared various anthropometric, cardiovascular (CV), oxidative stress and lifestyle risk factors and determined factor scores to explore associations between CV measures and factor clusters to explore associations in those at risk of EVA.

Young adults in the EVA group displayed marked phenotypic characteristics in terms of anthropometry, CV, and lifestyle risk factors, even though cfPWV were within healthy ranges. Blood pressure (brachial and central) and cfPWV were all incrementally higher across all three vascular ageing groups (p-trend ≤0.011). Hypertension, lifestyle risk factors such as self-reported smoking and alcohol consumption were all highest in the EVA group (p-trend ≤0.046). Additionally, in the EVA group only, cfPWV (adj. R²=0.028; β=0.171; p=0.042) associated positively with Factor 2 (oxidative stress and antioxidant capacity). No associations existed between Factor 1 (basic lipids) and any anthropometric or CV measures (p>0.050).

Young adults with higher cfPWV presented with a less favourable vascular profile and more unhealthy lifestyle behaviours compared to groups with lower cfPWV. In the EVA group, cfPWV positively associated with a cluster of oxidative stress and antioxidant capacity. Early lifestyle behaviours may have the ability to modify the balance between oxidants and antioxidants, potentially contributing to early onset arterial stiffness.