Overcoming selection bias in synthetic lethality prediction

Colm Seale1,2, Yasin Tepeli1, Joana P Gonçalves1

  • 1Pattern Recognition & Bioinformatics, Department of Intelligent Systems, Faculty EEMCS, Delft University of Technology, Delft 2628 XE, The Netherlands.

Abstract

Insights

Synthetic lethality (SL) prediction identifies gene pairs for cancer therapy. A new method, selection bias-resilient synthetic lethality (SBSL), improves prediction accuracy and generalizability by accounting for biases in existing SL data.

Area of Science:

  • Genomics
  • Computational Biology
  • Cancer Therapeutics

Background:

  • Synthetic lethality (SL) is a promising strategy for cancer therapy, targeting genes with simultaneous loss of function.
  • Identifying novel SL pairs is challenging due to the vast number of potential gene combinations.
  • Existing computational methods for SL prediction often overlook selection bias in experimental data, limiting their generalizability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a computational method for predicting synthetic lethal gene pairs that is robust to selection bias.
  • To improve the accuracy and generalizability of synthetic lethality prediction for potential anti-cancer drug development.

Main Methods:

  • Developed selection bias-resilient synthetic lethality (SBSL) prediction models using regularized logistic regression and random forests.
  • Utilized 27 molecular features derived from cancer cell lines, patient tissues, and healthy donors to describe gene pairs.
  • Trained and validated models on approximately 8000 experimentally derived SL pairs across breast, colon, lung, and ovarian cancers.

Main Results:

  • SBSL models demonstrated superior predictive performance, generalizability, and robustness to selection bias compared to existing methods.
  • Gene dependency, a measure of a gene's essentiality for cell survival, was the most significant predictor in SBSL models.
  • Random forests outperformed linear models when dependency features were excluded, emphasizing the importance of mutation mutual exclusivity, healthy co-expression, and tumor differential expression.

Conclusions:

  • The developed SBSL method offers a more reliable approach to predicting synthetic lethal gene pairs.
  • Addressing selection bias is crucial for building robust and generalizable computational models for synthetic lethality.
  • The findings highlight the potential of SBSL for accelerating the discovery of targeted cancer therapeutics.