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Soil carbon sequestration potential in global croplands.

José Padarian1, Budiman Minasny1, Alex McBratney1

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Enhancing soil organic carbon (SOC) in global croplands offers significant mitigation potential for climate change. This study quantifies additional SOC storage capacity, providing crucial data for targeted sequestration efforts.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Soil Science
  • Climate Change Mitigation

Background:

  • Improving soil organic carbon (SOC) is a key strategy for climate change mitigation.
  • Global estimates of SOC sequestration potential are debated and lack regional specificity.
  • Understanding additional storage potential in global croplands is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To model and quantify the SOC storage potential in global croplands.
  • To identify regions with higher SOC storage capacity.
  • To estimate the additional carbon sequestration potential in topsoils.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized 83,416 SOC observations from global databases.
  • Developed a quantile regression neural network model.
  • Modeled SOC storage as a function of climate, land cover, and soil characteristics.

Main Results:

  • Global croplands' topsoils (0-30 cm) currently hold 83 Pg C.
  • Additional SOC storage potential ranges from 29 to 65 Pg C.
  • This potential could offset 35% of agriculture's historical carbon debt.

Conclusions:

  • SOC storage potential is region-specific and influenced by environmental factors.
  • Climate change is projected to reduce SOC storage potential by 14% by 2040.
  • Results guide targeted SOC sequestration efforts and highlight agriculture's environmental impact.