Risk Factors and Prognostic Analysis of Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor Recurrence-Metastasis

Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) are potential malignancies that occur in the digestive tract. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors and prognosis of recurrence and metastasis of gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST).

From January 2018 to December 2019, 422 patients with GIST who received surgery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University were enrolled. Their clinical data were retrospectively analyzed, and their follow-ups were continued until March 31, 2022. Subsequently, univariate and multivariate Cox analyses, survival curves, and nomograms were adopted to explore the relationship between clinicopathological characteristics and recurrence or metastasis in patients with GIST.

Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis exhibited that the prognosis of patients was affected by tumor rupture (P = 0.040), tumor location (P < 0.001), tumor diameter (P = 0.016), mitotic figures (P < 0.001), and risk grade (P < 0.009). The above variables were selected to create the nomogram for 3-year disease-free survival (DFS). The 3-year the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curves of the nomogram were (0.878 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.871-0.939).

Collectively, risk factors affecting postoperative recurrence or metastasis of GIST consist of primary site of tumors, tumor rupture, tumor diameter >10 cm, high-risk tumor classification, and mitotic figures ≥10 per 50 HPFs. And the application of nomogram may help physicians provide individualized diagnosis and treatment for patients with GISTs following surgical resection.