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International treaties have mostly failed to produce their intended effects
Steven J Hoffman1,2,3,4, Prativa Baral1,5, Susan Rogers Van Katwyk1
1Global Strategy Lab, Dahdaleh Institute for Global Health Research, School of Global Health, York University, Toronto, ON, M3J 1P3, Canada.
Abstract:
There are over 250,000 international treaties that aim to foster global cooperation. But are treaties actually helpful for addressing global challenges? This systematic field-wide evidence synthesis of 224 primary studies and meta-analysis of the higher-quality 82 studies finds treaties have mostly failed to produce their intended effects. The only exceptions are treaties governing international trade and finance, which consistently produced intended effects. We also found evidence that impactful treaties achieve their effects through socialization and normative processes rather than longer-term legal processes and that enforcement mechanisms are the only modifiable treaty design choice with the potential to improve the effectiveness of treaties governing environmental, human rights, humanitarian, maritime, and security policy domains. This evidence synthesis raises doubts about the value of international treaties that neither regulate trade or finance nor contain enforcement mechanisms.
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